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UBC economist says chance of Liberal majority just one in ten

The premier's office said Lt. -Gov.

The BC Election is over and the Lieutenant Governor has asked Premier Clark to continue to govern.

That is one of the scenarios emerging after voters delivered a historic outcome, with preliminary results showing the BC Liberals with 43 seats, the New Democrats with 41 seats and the BC Greens with three seats.

One of the NDP's ridings, Courtenay-Comox, was won on Tuesday by a razor-thin nine-vote margin; if a compulsory recount and the inclusion of absentee ballots flips the result to the second-placed BC Liberals there, and other results are unchanged, Clark will have secured a standalone majority by the narrowest of margins.

Even after the final results are announced May 24, tight finishes could trigger judicial recounts.

In 2005, she left politics to spend more time with her family but still made a failed bid to run for Vancouver mayor the following year.

After the US recently imposed tariffs on Canadian lumber - hitting B.C. hardest of all - B.C. Premier Christy Clark retaliated with plans to slap a $70-a-tonne carbon tax on thermal coal shipments passing through her province on the way to the Pacific Ocean.

He told media May 10 that he spoke with Green Party leader Andrew Weaver on election night and that the two "talked about how we agree that the B.C. Liberals have failed British Columbians in a range of issues".

Several Liberal cabinet ministers lost seats in Metro Vancouver, including Attorney General Suzanne Anton, Technology Minister Amrik Virk and Peter Fassbender, the minister responsible for TransLink.

The Liberals broke out to an early lead, but the seats in favor of the NDP grew swiftly as more votes were counted.

With three seats, the Green party holds the balance of power in the legislature - a remarkable position for Weaver after becoming the first Green elected four years ago. "Not by huge amounts, but they won significantly", he said.

Carr was clear that specific project, the Trans Mountain expansion, has been approved at a federal level and said it will still move forward.

Now considered a key pivotal riding, if the tables turn in favor of the Liberals, it could give the party majority government. But Horgan would not make a commitment to working with the Green leader in a minority government.

Close riding results will likely be impacted by the advance vote count, a process that will take up to two weeks to complete. She can either enter into a formal coalition with one of these parties (presumably the Greens) or else can try to work together informally going forward.

"I would expect that as soon as government sits in the Legislature, there will be very soon after that legislation tabling banning big money in B.C.", he said.

In a province prone to disruptive, geological earthquakes, British Columbia voters delivered a political quake of their own in Tuesday's general election.

As it stands now the B.C. Liberals have hung on to win a minority government.

The six possible outcomes are: a Liberal majority; a Liberal minority; an NDP majority; an NDP minority; a Green-Liberal coalition or a Green-NDP coalition.

Still, Weaver does not appear to like the New Democrats' leader, John Horgan.

Horgan said Tuesday that a majority of British Columbians voted for a new government and that needs to be considered.

Weaver reminded voters that his party was the only one to ban corporate and union donations and his promises included electoral reform, increasing the carbon tax and investing millions in clean technology jobs.

News outlets are reporting a Liberal minority government, but that could all change as the rest of the votes are counted.


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